New Data Shows Double-Digit Swing to GOP in Key Swing State

According to recent reports on mail-in-ballot return data, the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania appears to be leaning Republican.  Cliff Maloney, who leads a conservative activist group called Pennsylvania Chase, explained that the data indicates the Republican Party has enjoyed an 11-point lead swing in their favor.

Maloney recently explained to Breitbart News Washington Bureau Chief Matthew Boyle that his organization has been prioritizing low-propensity Republican voters in the crucial swing state, which will play an outsized role in the election’s outcome. Pennsylvania Chase has pursued this voting demographic, encouraging them to request mail-in ballots and return them. According to Maloney, the effort “is working,” as the GOP is ahead 90,000 mail-in ballot returns from the 2020 election, equating to an “11-point swing for Republicans.”

“The PA Chase is working. How do I know that? Not only from anecdotal conversations and direct feedback at the door but let’s look at the numbers. If we compare 2020 at this time, compared to today for 2024, here are the specifics: Democrats are at 514,000 returns, Republicans are at 215,000 returns,” Maloney said, speaking about the success of the mail-in voting efforts.

“I’m not talking about requests anymore, folks. These are actual Democrat voters. So, we have party registration by party — and so that’s public information. And so, we know that Democrats that have requested a ballot, 514,000 of them have sent their ballot back, Republicans have had 215,000,” he continued.

Explaining the importance of the mail-in ballot data, Maloney stated, “And, the reason I tell people you have to look at the context is, you compare that to returns in 2024 at this time, Republicans are up 90,000 ballots, and Democrats are down roughly 40,000 ballots. So, it’s an 11-point swing for Republicans.”  The activist gave further historical context as to why the swing is substantial for Republicans.

“Remember that Trump only lost Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes. Republicans are trending up 90,000, Democrats are down let’s say, 40,000 in a state that had a delta of 80,000. That’s why I’m very confident, but we’ve got to finish hard, we’ve got to go all in. We can not sit back on our heels, this is time to double down,” Maloney noted.

The Pennsylvania Chase leader explained their extensive full-time staff members who have been working on the ground ahead of the election. “We’ve hired a 120 full-time staff. We’ve got 10 Airbnbs, these folks have been in the field since September 1, they work six days a week 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. — we give them Sundays off,” Maloney said.

“And, our objective is simple; we want to knock on 500,000 doors across Pennsylvania targeting Republicans to either A, request a mail-in ballot because they’re unlikely to vote, or B, once ballots go out, get them to return their ballot,” he added, outlining the process of how they are targeting these low-propensity voters in the swing state.

Looking at the last election, Maloney noted that a higher success rate with Republican mail-in ballot requests could have made a major difference.  “In 2020, Trump lost by 80,000 votes, but 141,000 Republicans requested a mail-in ballot and never sent it back. The PA Chase aims to fix that problem, and we feel if we fix the problem, we win PA. We win PA, we win the entire White House,” he said.

Watch ABC News concede that this Pennsylvania county is “Trump country”:

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