New data from Florida has revealed that Republicans are taking a lead over Democrats in early voting for the 2024 general election. The GOP currently has a total of 632,347 votes in thus far — as of this writing — for a total of 40.16% percent. The Democratic Party is close behind at 623,966 votes for 39.62 percent. Those with no affiliation total 280,489 votes for 18.22 percent. Voters labeled “Other” have cast 31,197 votes, chipping in another 2.03 percent.
In Brevard County, Republicans are ahead of Democrats by a total of 8 percent, with the GOP pulling in 22,925 votes to the Democrats 18,760 votes. Citrus County is also looking good for the Republican Party with 11,459 votes to Democrats’ 5,790. Another county showing a major advantage for the GOP is Lee County, with Republicans claiming 46,154 votes to the Democratic Party’s 26,075 thus far.
Currently, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are battling it out in swing states across the country, vying for undecided votes amid hectic campaign schedules.
With just weeks till Election Day, early voting data isn’t the only positive sign for the Trump campaign. In an updated forecast from The Hill’s Decision Desk HQ, the former president now has a 52 percent chance of taking the White House in the general election. This is a shift from the previous forecast that had both candidates in a tie on October 17. A lot has changed since that date, and the Decision Desk also now predicts that Republicans are going to win control over both chambers of Congress.
The DDHQ forecast predicted that President Joe Biden had an 87.6 percent chance of winning in 2020. Regardless of how you feel about the results, the Decision Desk forecast nailed it.
Despite Pennsylvania still being a toss-up in the DDHQ model, trends indicate the state leans towards Trump, which is a sign the ground game the Democrats unleashed in the state is not having the impact the party was hoping for.
